Free Mileage Check
Is that mileage a lot? The record has an answer.
Owners who file a complaint with NHTSA often state the odometer reading when the problem appeared. Type the mileage of a car you are considering and see where it sits against those recorded failures — and which systems had typically shown up by then.
- Real odometer readings
- Runs in your browser
- Censoring flagged, not hidden
Enter an odometer reading
The distribution below is the full record; your reading marks it
Mileage frames the question; the specific car answers it. A documented service history moves the odds more than the odometer does.
- 0–25,00019.8%
- 25,000–50,00021.8%
- 50,000–75,00020.6%
- 75,000–100,00015.9%
- 100,000–125,00011.4%censored band
- 125,000–150,0005.9%censored band
- 150,000–175,0003%censored band
- 175,000–200,0000.9%censored band
- 200,000–225,0000.5%censored band
- 250,000–275,0000.2%censored band
Parsed from 9,096 NHTSA owner complaints where the intake record states an odometer reading — 1,324 usable readings across the 2015, 2016, 2018 model years. A complaint is one owner reporting a problem, not a measured failure rate: the count tracks how many cars were sold as much as how bad the part is, and the sample is right-censored, so the upper bands under-count. The lower tail is sound — censoring can add later events, not remove early ones.
Before you buy
Check any VIN — free, instant, no sign-up
Decode the year, model, trim, plant and engine, then check NMVTIS for title brands and NHTSA for open recalls. The repair does not show on the paint. It shows in the record.
Real odometer readings
When owners file a complaint with NHTSA, the intake record often states the mileage at which the problem appeared. Those readings — parsed from an archived pull — are the raw material here.
Censored, and we say so
Newer cars dominate the sample, so high mileages are under-represented: the upper bands are dimmed and flagged. The lower tail is sound — censoring can add later events, not remove early ones.
A distribution, not destiny
A documented service history moves the odds more than the odometer does. The distribution frames the question; the specific car’s record — recalls, title, prior damage — answers it.
